uhh Posted:

Earth is 4.6 billion years old. The universe must be even older. Easily, at least 1000 reactions to create life happened per year. Thus, over such a long period of time, possibly trillions of such reactions have occurred, making it very likely that at least of them produced life.

if my math is correct 2^1,000,000,000,000 > 10^166,000. Thus, the formation of life is very likely.

Your math is not correct.

I’m not sure where the “two” is coming from, but you’re not doing it right anyway. If you have a bag with 300 numbers in it, the probability of pulling them all out in order isn’t 1x10^300. You don’t raise it by a power of 10 for every new trial.