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Shock You have a 1 in 3 chance of winning for reals. (That's a third for all you mathmaticians out there)

Megaspel

Avatar: 127614 Sat Feb 28 14:34:08 -0500 2009

Level 32 Hacker

“01001000 01000001 01011000”

FART CONTEST OVER

END FART

Megaspel edited this message on 02/22/2009 1:30AM

The Baroness

Avatar: 111827 Sat Apr 25 22:25:53 -0400 2009
4

[Grey Goose Mafiosi]

Level 35 Camwhore

I REALLY MISS INCIT, LOL

I’m am no math-wizard…but wouldn’t the changes change if we have to give you something first? Wouldn’t chances be one in three if we start out with nothing?

*shrugs and will wait for someone who actually knows maths to clarify*

Nice idea though Log in to see images!

Skyman747

Avatar: 115546 2015-08-12 18:58:09 -0400
17

[Harem and Sushi Bar]

Level 69 Hacker

DIRTY ****ING fine upstanding member of society woman's genitals

Baroness Von Squeezenstein Posted:

I’m am no math-wizard…but wouldn’t the changes change if we have to give you something first? Wouldn’t chances be one in three if we start out with nothing?

*shrugs and will wait for someone who actually knows maths to clarify*

Nice idea though Log in to see images!

Are you trying to get at that you have a 1/3 chance of winning, but since you have to pay a 2/3 chance of losing?

Megaspel

Avatar: 127614 Sat Feb 28 14:34:08 -0500 2009

Level 32 Hacker

“01001000 01000001 01011000”

Baroness Von Squeezenstein Posted:

I’m am no math-wizard…but wouldn’t the changes change if we have to give you something first? Wouldn’t chances be one in three if we start out with nothing?

*shrugs and will wait for someone who actually knows maths to clarify*

Nice idea though Log in to see images!

What? Your logic makes no sense. You do have to put money in the pot, yes, but as long as you’re entered you have a one in three chance of winning since the outcome will always either be one, two or three, three outcomes.

EDIT: I really want to keep this thread clean so it contains mostly numbers so it makes things easier in three days.

EDIT2: Also thanks for complimenting my idea Log in to see images! Megaspel edited this message on 02/22/2009 12:25AM

C_Wenhoo

Avatar: Crying Painting
15

[one man emo band]

Level 43 Emo Kid

“Tearleader”

Not sure if my maths is off the mark, but:

If there are n participants:

Total prize = n bp

Number of winners = n / 3 (on average)

Each winner’s prize = n / (n / 3) = 3 bp

Chance of winning prize = 1/3

So if you join, your expected outcome is:

1/3 * 3bp – 1bp (entrance fee) = 0 bp

Meaning, if you join this contest many times, on average you will win 0bp. As good as a coin flip.

C_Wenhoo edited this message on 02/22/2009 12:45AM

ghax

Avatar: 80241 Thu Jul 02 20:10:59 -0400 2009
17

Level 35 Camwhore

I love 12 inch fine upstanding member of society male reproductive organs in my arse

this is like my jackpot thread. it’s not going to work. people value their BP too much.

also, are alts allowed?

ghax edited this message on 02/22/2009 12:47AM

Dead Celebri-
ty Seance Dr-
oid Mk-10

Avatar: Server Hacker
2

Level 35 Hacker

“43 4f 44 45 20 4d 41 53 54 45 52”

    DCSD10:> "As my superior mathematical skills will not be required due to
           previously submitted meatbag calculations, I shall offer only this:"
DCSD10:> "What prevents you from colluding with 'friends' and fixing the draw?"

Dead Celebrity Seance Droid Mk-10 edited this message on 02/22/2009 12:49AM

The Baroness

Avatar: 111827 Sat Apr 25 22:25:53 -0400 2009
4

[Grey Goose Mafiosi]

Level 35 Camwhore

I REALLY MISS INCIT, LOL

C_Wenhoo Posted:

Not sure if my maths is off the mark, but:

If there are n participants:

Total prize = n bp

Number of winners = n / 3 (on average)

Each winner’s prize = n / (n / 3) = 3 bp

Chance of winning prize = 1/3

So if you join, your expected outcome is:

1/3 * 3bp – 1bp (entrance fee) = 0 bp

Meaning, if you join this contest many times, on average you will win 0bp. As good as a coin flip.

LOL see, other people are much better at it.

Megaspel

Avatar: 127614 Sat Feb 28 14:34:08 -0500 2009

Level 32 Hacker

“01001000 01000001 01011000”

C_Wenhoo Posted:

Not sure if my maths is off the mark, but:

If there are n participants:

Total prize = n bp

Number of winners = n / 3 (on average)

Each winner’s prize = n / (n / 3) = 3 bp

Chance of winning prize = 1/3

So if you join, your expected outcome is:

1/3 * 3bp – 1bp (entrance fee) = 0 bp

Meaning, if you join this contest many times, on average you will win 0bp. As good as a coin flip.

YOU ARE BAD AT MATHS. I don’t know why the **** you’re subtracting the 1BP for chances of winning. That’s stupid, it makes no sense.

Megaspel edited this message on 02/22/2009 1:17AM

Megaspel

Avatar: 127614 Sat Feb 28 14:34:08 -0500 2009

Level 32 Hacker

“01001000 01000001 01011000”

Dead Celebrity Seance Droid Mk-10 Posted:

    DCSD10:> "As my superior mathematical skills will not be required due to
           previously submitted meatbag calculations, I shall offer only this:"
DCSD10:> "What prevents you from colluding with 'friends' and fixing the draw?"

I don’t know anyone on Forumwarz, I hate you all since you’re all 4chan wannabes and I hate 4chan so I hate you all moreso and therefore I have no friends on this site.

This **** is very simple, give me 1BP, vote for a number, 1, 2 or 3 and in three days I will generate a random number, 1, 2, or three and if you chose correctly then you will gain more BP!

Megaspel edited this message on 02/22/2009 1:15AM

John Fitzger-
ald Kennedy

Avatar: 43547 2009-10-17 10:48:44 -0400
10

[Dead Presidents So-
ciety
]

Level 35 Camwhore

“Legs Wide Open”

Megaspel Posted:

ok **** you all fine upstanding member of societys I’m starting a new contest thread for people who can do maths.1

Non-RP Forum.

Additionally, your contest is flawed. It can be rigged from the outside too easily.

John Fitzgerald Kennedy edited this message on 02/22/2009 1:15AM

Megaspel

Avatar: 127614 Sat Feb 28 14:34:08 -0500 2009

Level 32 Hacker

“01001000 01000001 01011000”

fart

Megaspel edited this message on 02/22/2009 1:33AM

Celerysteve

Avatar: 61989 2011-12-28 11:21:37 -0500
24

[Temple of the Anth-
ropomorphic Majesty
]

Level 35 Troll

Right from the moment when I saw Saw, I laughed.

This contest violates ToS. Please lay down the banhammer on this guy.

John Fitzger-
ald Kennedy

Avatar: 43547 2009-10-17 10:48:44 -0400
10

[Dead Presidents So-
ciety
]

Level 35 Camwhore

“Legs Wide Open”

Megaspel Posted:

I’m not RPing so **** you.

Damn this whole site is full of idiots.

Ugh, I can’t even close this ****.

Then cease with the abusive language.

It’s not our fault that your contest has a design flaw that we are pointing out to you.

Megaspel

Avatar: 127614 Sat Feb 28 14:34:08 -0500 2009

Level 32 Hacker

“01001000 01000001 01011000”

fart

Megaspel edited this message on 02/22/2009 1:34AM

John Fitzger-
ald Kennedy

Avatar: 43547 2009-10-17 10:48:44 -0400
10

[Dead Presidents So-
ciety
]

Level 35 Camwhore

“Legs Wide Open”

Megaspel Posted:

Ok, what happens is that you send me 1BP and post a number, 1, 2 or 3 in this thread. Do not post anything other than your number and do not post more than once or you will be disqualified.

I will not use or spend the BP but in 3 days (25th of February), I will choose a random number with a random number generator, one, two or three and I will divide the BP I have been given from everyone to give to everyone who guessed the winning number so you have about a one in three chance of possibly doubling, tripling or quadrupling your investment, the more people join, the bigger the prize is!

So some rules:

Only post once, posting more than once will get you disqualified and your BP will not be refunded because you are an annoying prick.

Don’t post anything but your number.

Post before the 25th

I will know if you haven’t put BP into the pot

Put BP in the pot before voting.

Etc…

If I have to give dudes half BP or anything, I’ll use a random number generator to see who gets the remainders, hopefully this shouldn’t be that much of a problem if a lot of people join but it’s a bit of a random gamble, JUST LIKE THIS THREAD WOAH.

Quoted before the OP can edit to avoid intervention.

Megaspel

Avatar: 127614 Sat Feb 28 14:34:08 -0500 2009

Level 32 Hacker

“01001000 01000001 01011000”

Black Dragon Posted:

Quoted before the OP can edit to avoid intervention.

What.

I want to close this ****ing thing you’re all ****ing idiots.

EDIT: You are not all idiots. Just this one guy, specifically. I apologise for my outburst but you see it is 6AM in England pip pip! But this one guy here is a ****ing idiot.

Megaspel edited this message on 02/22/2009 1:19AM

John Fitzger-
ald Kennedy

Avatar: 43547 2009-10-17 10:48:44 -0400
10

[Dead Presidents So-
ciety
]

Level 35 Camwhore

“Legs Wide Open”

Megaspel Posted:

What design flaw? All I saw was people who are bad at maths.

Also abusive language wtf. I thought you were all from 4chan and other sites. Who the **** is gonna be offended?

It’s called Forum Rules. Please read before posting.

Also, all it takes is someone with three alts and three BP to breakyour contest and make it unfair for all other contestants.

John Fitzger-
ald Kennedy

Avatar: 43547 2009-10-17 10:48:44 -0400
10

[Dead Presidents So-
ciety
]

Level 35 Camwhore

“Legs Wide Open”

Megaspel Posted:

What.

I want to close this ****ing thing you’re all ****ing idiots.

EDIT: You are not all idiots. Just this one guy, specifically. I apologise for my outburst but you see it is 6AM in England pip pip! But this one guy here is a ****ing idiot.

Try reading the Forum Rules before posting. Thanks.

Megaspel

Avatar: 127614 Sat Feb 28 14:34:08 -0500 2009

Level 32 Hacker

“01001000 01000001 01011000”

fart

Megaspel edited this message on 02/22/2009 1:34AM
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