uhh Posted:

For such a reaction, I can think of two outcomes:

1. life is created

2. life isn’t created.

so the chance that no life is created is (1/2)^1,000,000,000 which is too small.

The chance that life is created = 1 – (1/2)^1,000,000,000 which effectively equals 1.

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edit: i’m going to bed, so i’ll see your rebumal in the morning

I think in order to have a rebumal there needs to be something to “rebum.” As it stands, you’re basically bending mathematics over your knee and spanking it.

Firstly, you make up your own arbitrary numbers to support your points based on your bumumptions about how many reactions are taking place. Then, you calculate those arbitrary numbers wrongly anyway.

My number is based on the number of letters of DNA that make up the simplest single-cell bacterium; it’s not an bumumption or anything close to arbitrary. When you have something approaching concrete that didn’t just come out of your imagination, then we can have a debate.