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Maybe I’m wrong here but just putting this out there when there may still be time to fix it. Let’s say you get a scoop. Should you convert it into a card? The math says yes.
-You have 3/8 chance to get a Modest Improvement which gives you 2 scoops. Expected return is 3/8 * 2 = 0.75 scoops.
-5/8 chance you can’t get an MI: that leaves you with your next best option, the Thief. Chance to get it in this scenario: 3/7. Expected return: 5/8 * 3/7 * 1 = ~0.268
Total return on scoop invested: 1.018 and 5/14th of a card.
Seems like a pretty bad idea to me, allowing players to convert scoops to cards to scoops for big profit. |
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Posted On: 08/19/2008 4:01PM | View SG94's Profile | # |